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8/30/2003 02:45:00 PM | Anonymous

More Recall Fun!: Craig Kilborn of CBS's "The Late Late Show" has an interesting op-ed piece in the NYT today. You can find it here. FCC rules say that his show, or any other "entertainment" show can't mention or show pictures of any of the 135 gubernatorial candidates unless they're going to give equal time to them all. So no Awwhnold jokes, no Gary Coleman -- not even the Smut Peddler who cares can be part of any staged gags. Kilborn makes some interesting points in terms of what cable and "news" shows can get away with and that he can't. I kind of hope he comes up with a gag that shows all 135. This is better than Cirque de Soleil.




8/29/2003 10:19:00 AM | Timothy

What about the 40% of America who thinks Iraqis were involved in 9-11?
A dartlogger says he is told (we don't know by whom):
In a recent Gallup poll, Americans were asked the following question: "If two equally qualified students, one white and one black, applied to a major U.S. college or university, who do you think would have the better chance of being accepted to the college?" 67% of blacks said the WHITE student would have the advantage, while only 5% (FIVE PERCENT) said the black student would have the advantage. The distribution is a little closer to reality among white respondents, but even there, only 34% said the black student would have an advantage. This kind of thing makes me almost question democracy -- if the public is this stupid, can it really be trusted?
Who is "the public" that is untrustworthy? Well, whites are said to be much more closer to reality than blacks. So let's substitute "blacks" for "the public" in this quoted passage on dartlog:
The distribution is a little closer to reality among white respondents, but even there, only 34% said the black student would have an advantage. This kind of thing makes me almost question democracy -- if blacks are this stupid, can they really be trusted?



8/28/2003 07:34:00 PM | Anonymous

Taco Bell Recall: So I've been back in the land of Fast Food for one day now and I've already been asked to register my support in the recall circus by voting with my stomach. Check out Taco Bell's latest marketing strategy. Fox is reporting that CA Dems are shouting that the whole thing is rigged because of the varying prices.

Has the GODP (Grand Ol' Democratic Party) gone of the deep end in even commenting on this? What does this say about political influence in the state when Taco Bell is putting out polls? Although, I must admit, it's probably the tastiest poll I've ever been asked to participate in -- but not by much.



8/28/2003 05:14:00 PM | Timothy

Hitchens on the Ten Commandments
No pulling punches here.



8/28/2003 02:57:00 PM | Timothy

Fun Stuff
Arnold. Freepers respond. More on how Cruz might not be that far ahead. You know, a Democratic candidate would attacked endlessly if this past history came out about him.



8/25/2003 06:01:00 PM | Brad Plumer

Minimum wage hikes: For anyone who's interested, Nathan Newman has been all over the miminum wage issue lately. Here's his original post that lays out the case for increasing the minimum wage. He argues that over-reliance on the Earned Income Tax Credit to support low-wage workers leads to a distortion of both the labor market and production. Max Sawicky disagrees with Newman's analysis, but in the end he thinks that "the minimum wage ought to be raised and indexed to inflation" and that "refundable tax credits ought to be expanded."

Now Newman's back again, suggesting that any Democratic candidate who advocates an $8/hr minimum wage will reap the benefits at the polls-- not only because an overwhelming majority (around 80%) of Americans support the increase, but also because such a platform would increase turnout among poorer voters. He claims he'll be back soon to argue why this policy will increase employment (and presumably, why it won't affect inflation).

Update: Here's Newman's argument on how raising the minimum wage actually increases employment. I haven't gone through it very carefully, but it seems reasonable to me. The big concern is with point #3-- that a minimum wage hike across the board will preclude the existence of cheap labor alternatives. But this seems to ignore international labor alternatives (cf. the big outsourcing trend lately), as well as illegal immigrant labor. I'm not sure what effect that will have, taken altogether, on employment. Though I do like Newman's closing line: "as long as the evidence [on the effect on the labor market] is ambiguous, I go with raising the minimum wage, since the obvious empirical benefits for the workers effected are clear while the supposed downside is unproven and disputed theoretically."



8/25/2003 05:46:00 PM | Brad Plumer

How to fix California: Kevin Drun links to this LA Times editorial suggesting a number of prudent structural changes to California's government. If you don't live out West, you might not care one way or the other, but I think the editorial offers an interesting perspective on the general needs of any successful democratic system. The editors advise the following:

  • Repealing or loosening term limits. Politicians are more beholden than ever to contributors and see no political gain in trying to solve long-term state problems. Elected representatives no longer fully grasp the basics of budgeting and regulatory oversight.

  • Turning legislative redistricting over to the state Supreme Court or a special commission. Politicians do it now, making safe districts for themselves. Over time, the primary-voting faithful of each party push the seat farther to the left or the right.

  • Amending Proposition 13, not to increase tax rates but to make it harder for corporations to escape reassessment. Homeowners can't disguise a sale as a 100-year lease, so why should banks and insurance companies be able to?

  • Amending the state Constitution to make it harder to place voter initiatives on the ballot and to recall officials. The initiative process has been hijacked by special interests, from casino operators to labor unions. Sponsors today don't bother with volunteers; they "buy" qualifying signatures by deploying an army of paid signature gatherers.

  • Plug the loopholes that encourage corrupt relationships in which politicians shake down contributors and pay them back with favors at the citizenry's expense.

  • Another chronic contributor to the state's political deadlock is the requirement that two-thirds of legislators must pass the annual state budget.... A ballot initiative sponsored by Democrats and already in circulation would lower the threshold for passing a budget or raising taxes to a 55% vote.... Both parties share blame for the state's deep hole of debt, but the measure's sponsors should agree to delay and incorporate it in a broader package that could be put to voters by 2004.
  • None of these proposals sound overly radical to me (although I can't comment on Proposition 13), and while they may not solve the budget crisis right away, they'll almost certainly result in a more efficient and more representative government in Sacramento. Changing the two-thirds requirement might cause concern among those Republicans worried about tax increases, but as Kevin Drum comments, "If Californians really don't like the budgets the Democrats pass, they can vote them out of office. That's democracy."



    8/25/2003 03:32:00 PM | Brad Plumer

    Dean's conservative appeal? Judging from this Washington Post piece, it looks like Howard Dean prefers the Dennis Kucinich approach to presidential campaigns:

    One multilateral institution that might not fare so well in a Dean administration, though, is the World Trade Organization. In what would be a radical departure, China and other countries could get trade deals with the United States only if they adopted "the same labor laws and labor standards and environmental standards" as the United States. Whether or not that demand was consistent with WTO rules? "That's right." With no concession to their relative level of development? "Why should there be? They have the right to have a middle class same as everyone else."

    Dean says, "We've tried it" -- NAFTA, WTO -- "for 10 years, and has it succeeded? No. . . . What's the purpose of trade? If it's to create jobs, we haven't done that in America."
    One really has to wonder about that UNH econ professor against whom Dean "held his own."



    8/25/2003 10:15:00 AM | Jared Alessandroni

    More on Gay School - The continuing saga of how to give more money to the rich kids...See this article on how someone is suing NYC schools for supporting the expansion of the gay segregation school. 3.2 million dollar expansion of a school designed for a segment of the population that traditionally does better than average - and that comes mostly from the same wealthy white place. Any wonder that Bloomberg is supporting this, one of only school expansions approved this year in the city?



    8/25/2003 01:20:00 AM | Anonymous

    A new presidential politics? The Dean campaign rallied in front 15,000 people in Seattle tonight -- 15 months before the general election and 5 months before the NH primary. If the $9k per hour DFA.com is raising holds out for the next 48 hours, they'll hit their $1 mil. goal by Tuesday night, as well. Has any presidential campaign ever seen anything like this so early? If Dean's ultimately successful, will future Dems be able to win any other way? If necessary, can the other leading Dem contenders count on Dean's supporters getting in line come the general election without an emphasis on grassroots?

    Also, CNN has an article with Dean commenting on a Wes Clark tap for VP.



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