Saturday, May 10, 2003 Shadows of The Review But from a national magazine! Sickening.
Posted by Timothy,
7:57 PM
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where we are, and where we are going This article demonstrates the problems that we are facing today in America. A while back I quoted a Guardian column that referred to totalitarian tactics being employed the Bush-led government. Doesn't seem so out of line now, does it?
Posted by Graham,
7:24 PM
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The True Beneficiaries: Nobody
Here's my take (from an arrogant armchair economist)
stocks will become more attractive as investments, the market will get a serious inflow of capital and corporations will be able to go out and build more infrastructure, hire more workers, stimulate trade, and poof! away goes unemployment and unhappiness in general.
What the economy needs now is NOT a higher stock market. Compared to historical levels the SP 500 is still overvalued. We need a period to reset expectations and increase accounting transparency ... big-cap companies can't be expected to deliver 15% earnings growth a year like the 90's and their P/E's should reflect that.
A rising market should follow, not lead economic recovery. We need to ride out the downturn until corporate profits stabilize and begin to grow, which will provide the means to reduce unemployment & increase capital spending. The market needs reflect earnings growth...otherwise its a bubble.
what I think is going to happen is that we will see a short-term economic boost after this tax cut passes
I don't see how this cut will boost anything. If the Bush administration did this cut right, they would have reduced the dividend tax on the corporate, not investor side. That would boost companies' cash flow, which could lead to hiring & capital investment. By putting the cut on the individual side, the money is going to go to huge shareholders like Sandy Weill, who are already so rich that the cut is meaningless. They won't spend the money.
Like his father, Bush had the misfortune to take office during the downturn of the business cycle. This is a natural event and there is not much he can do about it.
What the economy needs now is restored confidence via vigorous corporate scandal prosecution and reduced geopolitical uncertainty. On both counts Bush has hurt more than helped. And, as Nick mentioned, proposing a huge deficit will only make things worse. (Higher interest rates will also depress the market because of the increased cost of capital)
If these structural fixes occur, bringing about a return to normal times to the business world, advances in productivity will eventually restore corporate profits and bring about a new bull market.
UPDATE: one of the justifications put forth for this cut is to make issuing equity, rather than debt more attractive for corporations.
But by incentivizing investors to hold dividend-paying stocks (the Verizons, Citigroups & Fords of the world), we make smaller growth stocks (that don't pay dividends) less attractive. This will keep the IPO window closed longer, leading to less investment in the VC markets, which will hamper innovation and job creation. Oops!
Posted by sam,
5:38 PM
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Friday, May 09, 2003 I'm a celebrity! Pick up the newest issue of The Dartmouth Review in print to see my name in the masthead alongside such luminaries as Pat Buchanan, Laura Ingraham, and anyone else who throws money into that pit of a publication. At least COSO is the only group that wastes money on DFP
Posted by Jonathan,
8:56 PM
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The True Beneficiaries: Maybe Nobody
Some input from an arrogant econ major:
The tax cut is not really about rewarding the rich, per se. Although Bush no doubt needs to keep his corporations happy so he has enough cash at hand to spend his Democratic opponent into the ground, after a move as ambitious as the elimination of the dividend tax if the economy doesn't perk up he'll be at the extreme end of the Axis of Fucked.
This whole tax cut thing comes down to ideas Keynes put forth a long time ago arguing that when monetary policy isn't enough to alleviate an economic downturn, the government can run a deficit to get things started again. (Keynes was talking about the Great Depression, but presidents since Kennedy have stupidly taken this as license to generally fuck with everything.)
So why dividend taxes? The reason people value stocks is because they are investments. The double taxation on dividends makes the tax on dividends so high that it is frequently not worth the trouble to pay them out; instead, most corporations just reinvest the money. This essentially makes stocks as investment depend on increase in their market value. They're big-ticket baseball cards.
So what should the tax cut accomplish? By making dividend income taxed the same way as normal income, stocks will become more attractive as investments, the market will get a serious inflow of capital and corporations will be able to go out and build more infrastructure, hire more workers, stimulate trade, and poof! away goes unemployment and unhappiness in general.
I think this would have been a pretty good way to use the Clinton surplus, since if we want to tax the rich more we can always readjust the income brackets, and the dividend tax changes corporate behavior incentives to make them do even more fucked-up things than they already do. But I don't think it is a good idea now, certainly not under the guise of economic stimulus.
There are a lot of factors Bush can't control, but what I think is going to happen is that we will see a short-term economic boost after this tax cut passes, not only because of the dividend tax elimination in itself but because government spending and tax cuts always boost the economy in the short term. In the long term, however, a government deficit discourages investment. If the federal government is borrowing billions upon billions of dollars from capital markets to finance a war and a tax cut, then there's less capital available for other purposes, supply and demand will push the interest rate up, and there will not be a huge surge in stock investment because SURPRISE Joe Homeowner can't take advantage of the new tax structure as his variable-rate mortgage just jumped three points.
The result: the effect of this is far worse than the per capita tax benefits people always circulate before a tax cut. (Of course the rich will get more back per capita from a tax cut. They pay the most taxes.) What's truly terrifying about this tax cut is the way in the long run it will improve investment opportunities for the rich (assuming the economy doesn't collapse completely) and will keep the poor and middle-class out. The rich get richer if their improved investments aren't undermind by a Global Fucking Depression, the poor definitely get poorer, and the Department of Justice Antitrust Division will be told to ditch the HHI in favor of a WWJD bracelet.
I am a lot better at micro than macro, so if anybody out there knows Keynes backwards and forwards, please supplement or correct this post as needed.
Posted by Nic,
6:06 PM
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The True Beneficiaries From an April House Committee on Government Reform report compiled for Rep. Waxman:
"President Bush has proposed eliminating personal income taxes on dividends. Such a tax cut would have virtually no impact on the average American. According to data from the Internal Revenue Service, over 70% of taxpayers would receive no benefit at all from a dividend tax cut....
The benefits of the dividend tax cut flow disproportionately to the wealthy. The top 1% of taxpayers--those earning $374,00 or more--would receive an average tax cut of $11,483. In contrast, the bottom 80% of taxpayers--those earning $77,000 or less--would receive an average tax cut of only $29.50. See figure 1."
"Floyd, a prominent Florence surgeon and top S.C. fund-raiser for Bush during the 2000 Republican primaries, recalls a conversation with Bush's national campaign chairman, Don Evans, during a fund-raiser at Floyd's Florence home."
"'Don Evans came up to me and asked me what I wanted (if Bush won),' Floyd said."
Floyd said, 'Well, I want the president to come to the university and receive an honorary degree.' So he took out this little pad and wrote it down.'"
Posted by Clint,
3:48 PM
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Star Wars' Use of Legal Doctrine: Does Yoda represent Justice Louis D. Brandeis?
Reading Tim's political analysis of The Matrix, made me think of this connection:
Quote from Yoda (speaking to Young Anakin in Star Wars Episode 1): "Fear is the path to the Dark Side; fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering.
Quote from Louis D. Brandeis (writing in WHITNEY v. CALIFORNIA 1927): "[The Founders understood]...that fear breeds repression; that repression breeds hate; that hate menaces stable government..."
Justice Brandeis was trying to define the legal limits of free speech as being those required to protect the State from serious injury, political, economic or moral destruction. An interesting thought when applied to Star Wars. Perhaps like Brandeis, Yoda understood that fear could be used to destroy the Empire's democratic government and allow a more autocratic ruler to take power. Of course all of this becomes even more ominous given our current President's penchant for using fear of terrorism to enhance his own political power.
Posted by Dan,
1:32 PM
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The Death of the Filibuster
The GOP should be careful what it wishes for... this basically turns the Senate rules into a clone of the House rules. It also shows how both parties have finally realized the true power of the judiciary.
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist on Friday proposed changes in Senate rules that would make it easier for the majority to overcome the filibuster tactics minority Democrats have used to block confirmation of several of President Bush's conservative judicial nominees.
Under the Frist plan, it would take 60 votes to stop a filibuster on the first try, 57 on the second, 54 on the third and 51 on the fourth. The entire process would take about 13 days, he said.
Update 1: Here's my response to John's comment. I quote from Senator Leahy's website: Under the Democratic-led Senate of the 107th Congress and continuing this year in the Republican-led 108th Congress, the judicial confirmation process is working far faster than it did when Republicans routinely blocked nearly 60 of President Clinton’s nominees with anonymous holds, filibusters and other roadblocks. The Senate now has confirmed 123 Bush judicial nominees, with an additional confirmation expected tonight (Roberts, 5/8/03). We now also are at the lowest vacancy rate in 13 years, since 1990. One hundred of those Bush judicial nominees were confirmed by the previous Democratic-led Senate. Only two of President Bush’s nominees have faced cloture votes -- and these cloture votes are open roll calls, not the secret holds that Republicans used anonymously to block scores of President Clinton’s nominees."
The constitution provides a perfectly proper way to discipline Senators for abusing their judicial appointment powers-- elections. If American citizens feel their Senators are acting as judicial "inquistors" as you call them, they are free to vote those Senators out of office. It is a far greater distortion of the law and the time-honored procedures of the Senate, to gerrymander the filibuster rules so Bush can appoint whoever he wants to the bench.
Posted by Dan,
11:15 AM
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Why he needs that dance mix
When [Dean] crossed paths with fish-fry attendee Joan Trezevant during a walk-through with supporters, she was dancing and he was just some politician in her way. So she asked him to dance, and then and there they did the shag, the South Carolina state dance. Let me be the first to report that the former governor of Vermont dances beautifully. Said a clearly thrilled Trezevant afterward, "He has the moves."--Prospect online
Posted by Clint,
10:27 AM
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Thursday, May 08, 2003 Wolfowitz's Journey
Interesting WaPo piece on Paul Wolfowitz's life and role in the Bush administration (he's the real reason we're in Iraq, not Halliburton):
Wolfowitz's father, a brilliant mathematician whose family fled anti-Semitism in Poland and lost many relatives in the Holocaust, instilled in him a hatred of totalitarianism and a belief in the United States' power to do good. His later intellectual odyssey is about as close as one gets to a classic neo-conservative trajectory.
As a senior in high school in Upstate New York, Wolfowitz said he stuck out as a supporter of John F. Kennedy....That led to work for Sen. Henry M. Jackson, a hawkish Washington state Democrat known as "Scoop" who believed in using U.S. power for humanitarian purposes.
After serving at the Pentagon during the Carter administration, Wolfowitz remained a registered Democrat until he joined the Reagan administration as head of policy planning at the State Department. He said it was not he who changed his political philosophy so much as the Democratic Party, which abandoned the hard-headed internationalism of Harry Truman, Kennedy and Jackson.
I'm not sure I agree with everything the neo-cons have to say, but I do think their viewpoint is worthy of respect. Like pacifists, they stand on principle and mean to do good... the question is how well these stances translate into the real world.
Posted by sam,
6:39 PM
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Pong Porn (this will only make sense to Dartmouth students and alums) The Review has a link to something very disturbing. Hold out, Grossman, you'll soon be in New York, away from the city-where-Santorum-bans-sisterly-love.
Posted by Timothy,
6:25 PM
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Maureen Dowd on Mary Magdelene! Dowd reviewed a book "Mary, Called Magdelene" by Margaret George (for the NYT, July 9, 2002, Seeing Mary Magdalene As One of the Apostles):
It's not easy to write a love scene for Jesus. So we can't blame Margaret George too much if her big moment in the woods, when Mary Magdalene throws herself at the son of God, reads like a pallid version of the fiery encounter in the barn when Scarlett throws herself at Ashley. " 'You love me as well. I know it!' she added defiantly. . . . " 'Yes, I do love you,' he said. 'I love your courage and your integrity, your insights and your quietness, and if I were going to have a life that went in another direction, I would choose you to be beside me on that path. . . .' " 'I don't understand! Why can't you take that path?' " The man has a good excuse. He's a little busy struggling with Satan and getting Christianity off the ground. But like every young woman involved with a powerful man, Mary of Magdala yearned for the Messiah to put aside his "lofty mission" and tend to her. "She didn't want to be needed, she wanted someone to fulfill her needs," the author writes. Jesus urges her to snap out of it and "stay the course."
As Ms. George explains in her afterward: "I assume that Jesus was an attractive person, and it would be unusual if none of his female followers developed heightened feelings for him." But in this innocent and stilted retelling, the famous biblical temptress never even tries to lure Jesus to the dark side. She sees him as marriage material, an eligible young Jewish carpenter-turned-miracle-worker. Meet Mary Magdalene, good girl. She was renowned as the sensual half of the madonna-whore equation, "the Jessica Rabbit of the Gospels, the gold-hearted town tramp," as one admiring writer called her. There was the Virgin Mary and the wanton Mary; the Mary in blue and the Mary in red. The comely harlot who rubbed Jesus' feet with perfumed oil and tears and dried them with her hair inspired great art with her jar of ointment, haunting eyes and naked breasts. She inspired the spread of refuges for prostitutes around the world called Magdalene houses. And she inspired Barbara Hershey to become a notorious pioneer in lip-plumping to play the sultry sinner Jesus saves from being stoned in Martin Scorsese's "Last Temptation of Christ." But for some time a cadre of female historians have been making the case that Mary Magdalene was framed and defamed. They point out that there is no scriptural evidence that she was a prostitute. They say the Gnostic "Gospel of Mary," supposedly written by Mary Magdalene and discovered in Egypt half a century ago, portrays her as a rival to Peter, as a female apostle who stayed faithful at the end, unlike some of the skittish males. The revisionists argue that, wittingly or unwittingly, the men who run Christianity obliterated Mary Magdalene's role as an influential apostle and reduced her to a metaphor for sexual guilt. The main confusion was sown in the sixth century, when Pope Gregory the Great conflated Mary of Magdala -- a friend of Jesus who was present at the Crucifixion, who anointed his body for burial and who was the first to see the risen Christ -- with Mary of Bethany (Martha and Lazarus's sister) and an unnamed sinful woman in the Gospel of Luke who bathed Jesus' feet. The question is not merely academic, given the roiling state of the Roman Catholic Church. The church refuses to allow women to be ordained as priests because there were no female apostles. If Mary Magdalene was a woman of hard virtue rather than easy virtue, then the church loses its flimsy justification. So the premise of Ms. George's novel is intriguing. Loaves-and-fishes style, she takes a few mentions in the Gospels and spins them into a 625-page "diary of a soul." She begins with the reference to Mary being delivered of seven demons by Jesus. In her quest to be exorcised of the malevolent spirits who have tormented her since childhood, Mary runs into Jesus and ends up leaving her family to troop around after him. With rigorous research, Ms. George paints the landscape and rituals of Judea and makes "educated guesses" about her mysterious subject: that Mary was an observant Jew, that she married a sardine fisherman and had a baby, that she could read, that she had visions, that she befriended other women mentioned in the Gospels as part of Jesus' circle and stifled her jealousy. ("I met Jesus first, I knew him longer.") The author goes a bit overboard with her feminist fable, turning Mary into the Gloria Steinem of Galilee. Speaking of the naming ceremony for Mary's infant daughter, she writes: "However, it was marred by the fact that Mary would have to stand up the entire time, and not allow anyone to touch her, since ritual law proclaimed that any bed or chair she sat on until the 66th day after the birth was unclean, and so was anyone who touched her. That meant that she could not hold her own child for the ceremony. " 'The curse of Eve,' Joel had said lightly. To him it was only amusing, whereas to Mary it was a painful reminder that in every way women were considered so much lower than men." At another point, when Jesus tells her she is a prophet, "perhaps the only one in the group," Peter blurts out, "But she's a woman." The author retells the familiar stories in the Gospels but inserts Good Mary as a major player alongside Really Good Mary. Mary Magdalene is not in the lineup at the Last Supper table because she's bustling about in the kitchen, making horseradish dip, serving platters of roast lamb with coriander relish and unleavened bread. She is the one who suggests Christ might want to get away from the madding crowd in the olive garden at Gethsemane. She is the one who discovers Judas's betrayal by disguising herself as a veiled waitress at the palace of Antipas. Despite the demonic possession and all her dazzling adventures, this Mary never seems vivid or beguiling. The book creates a role model for those who want to believe that Jesus, who treated men and women equally in the Gospels, was more enlightened than the church's leadership two millenniums later. Yet the new Mary's arc from pious good girl to Mrs. Sardine Salesman to Pillar of the Church may leave you a little nostalgic for the transgressive Mary's more gripping drama of sin and redemption, of flirting with the Messiah and finding faith through him.
Posted by Timothy,
6:06 PM
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Conservative Thought from a 14 year old...
As I was walking through Barnes and Noble earlier this week, I noticed a book by Nation columnist Eric Alterman, titled "What Liberal Media?" I picked it up but quickly put it back down. I'm sure Mr. Alterman is very sharp and intelligent, but I can't imagine anything refuting media bias, considering that organizations like the Media Research Center and many authors like Bernard Goldberg have documented this as a fact.
This has to be satire on World Net Daily's part! I guess the little guy doesn't even know that Alterman spends a good chunk of the book showing what hogwash Goldberg's 'research' is. By the way, the guy really is 14 years old. What sad is that the talking points of 'grown-up' conservatives are about the same. (via atrios)
Posted by Timothy,
4:55 PM
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The Matrix I always had this theory that the world outside the Matrix was just another level in the computer simulation for people who could not cope with the regular simulation, or possibly a level between warring computer realities (remember in the first Matrix how the agents wanted the codes for the mainframes of Zion?) I thought that would be a good twist, but I didn't think the movie makers would actually be smart enough to go that way. However, I'm thinking maybe the makers of the Martrix are more clever than I thought, now that I see this line of dialogue in print:
Agent Smith: Do we have a deal, Mr. Reagan? Cypher: You know, I know this steak doesn't exist. I know that when I put it in my mouth, the Matrix is telling my brain that it is juicy and delicious. After nine years, you know what I realize?... Ignorance is bliss. Agent Smith: Then we have a deal. Cypher: I don't want to remember nothing. Nothing! You understand? And I want to be rich, you know, someone important. Like an actor. Agent Smith: Whatever you want, Mr. Reagan.
Heh. That has to be a sly reference to Ronald Reagan not remembering Iran-Contra.
A federal appeals court ruled on Thursday that a 1988 Supreme Court decision that gave wide latitude to high-school administrators to review and censor student publications does not apply to student newspapers at public colleges. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit made the ruling in finding that a dean at Governors State University does not have immunity from a suit filed by the editors of The Innovator, the student newspaper at the Illinois institution. The editors sued the dean after she told the newspaper's printer that a university official had to approve the content of the newspaper before it could be printed. Patricia A. Carter, the dean of student affairs and services at Governors State, admitted making that request to the printer in 2000. But she argued -- with backing from the Illinois attorney general -- that the suit should have been dismissed because of uncertainty about the constitutional protections afforded to college journalists. Her lawyers cited the 1988 Supreme Court ruling in Hazelwood School District v. Kuhlmeier, in which the court ruled that high-school journalists did not enjoy the same First Amendment protections as adults. While the Hazelwood decision dealt with high-school journalists, many college journalists have feared that it could be used to limit their freedom. As a result, many journalism groups have backed the Governors State student editors and warned that a ruling against them could have broad implications for college newspapers. In Thursday's decision, the court ruled that college journalists are protected by the U.S. Constitution, unlike high-school journalists. "The differences between a college and a high school are far greater than the obvious differences in curriculum and extracurricular activities," the decision said. "While Hazelwood teaches that younger students in a high-school setting must endure First Amendment restrictions, we see nothing in that case that should be interpreted to change the general view favoring broad First Amendment rights for students at the university level."
Update: Hogie O'Racist e-mails to point out how FIRE was all over this like Mary Magdalene on Jesus:
On April 10, 2003, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit upheld freedom of the press at Governors State University (GSU), in University Park, Illinois. FIRE had joined an amicus brief submitted by the Student Press Law Center urging the Court to vindicate the basic first amendment rights of college students. Judge Terence T. Evans, who wrote the decision, called this brief "superb." This is a crucial victory that undoes an attempt to impose a truly draconian form of censorship on college students and should serve as a warning to any university that seeks to treat their students as children. [FIRE's brief is here]
Posted by Timothy,
3:45 PM
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Dean Event at Dartmouth Did anyone have any reaction to the Dean event at Dartmouth on Tuesday? All I saw on this was from The Dartmouth. The Dartmouth Free Press will be printing an interview they did with him later, I assume.
Posted by Timothy,
3:28 PM
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Maybe he thought all those extra people were just interns Slate's Timothy Noah talks about how Bush's non-defense and non-Treasury cabinet members are all virtually invisible in an administration who's only real interests are war and tax cuts.
But aside from Bush more or less ignoring 95% of America's problems, this raises a bigger question of whether cabinet jobs are political career-enders in general? Elizabeth Dole parlayed a Reagan cabinet job into a Senate seat (although she had more name recognition from the 1996 convention speech than anything she did for Reagan) and obviously Cheney, Rumsfeld and Powell (are Joint Chiefs considered cabinet members?) have done well for themselves. Of the Clinton cabinet, only Bill Richardson has succeeded in getting elected. Andrew Cuomo and Janet Reno couldn't even win their primaries.
Update 1: Emmett was quick to remind me that another Clinton cabinet member -- and Dartmouth grad -- who couldn't make it past the primaries was Robert Reich.
In any event, on the second floor of a Nashua restaurant, we watched Howard Dean give his passionate, energetic stump speech to a nice sized crowd, which the Nashua Democratic regulars there told us was made up of a lot of "new" people, brought into politics this time by some combination of the power of the web and their passion for Dr. Dean. Dean entered the room to the strains of a techno pop mix that a supporter has done, that samples Dean's DNC speech; while the concept is awesome, the execution isn't great, and somebody with more editing skills should steal the idea and re-do it. It has a great beat AND you can dance to it. (The Note)
(Ok, confession time: I'm utterly addicted to the Dean dance mix and often listen to it several times a day. Again, get it here)
Posted by Timothy,
11:30 AM
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Where Hussein's frozen assets are going:
In a decision finding a thin link between Saddam Hussein's government and al-Qaida, a Federal Court judge in New York has awarded more than $100 million to the families of two World Trade Center victims. In his written decision, Judge Baer noted that the experts' testimony was largely hearsay, and presented few actual facts connecting al-Qaida and Iraq. But he said the experts "provide a sufficient basis for a reasonable jury to draw inferences which could lead to the conclusion that Iraq provided material support to al-Qaida and that it did so with knowledge and intent to further al-Qaida's criminal acts."read it here
So instead of going to the true victims of Hussein's brutal regime, his money is coming to us. I would have hope the Bush administration and the rest of our nation realized it needed to make a much more serious commitment to rebuilding Iraq then allowing money stolen from the Iraqi people to end up here.
Question for the floor: could programs like this replace affirmative action? They certainly would be a step towards a color-blind society. At the same time, traditional affirmative action opponents conveniently ignore the reality that on the whole, minorities don't have access to the same opportunities that pampered suburbanites like myself enjoy.
In america we like to talk about racial barriers, not class barriers. Yet I think economic differences may explain more about the current inequalities in our society. To make a gross generalization, black kids at Andover/Choate don't have any problems getting into college, while white kids in northeast vermont, hispanics in New Mexico, or asians in ghetto LA don't even have it on their horizons.
And before you jump all over this post, no I'm not trying to deny that racism (like anti-semitism) isn't alive and well in America. It just may no longer be the huge barrier to success that it once was....
UPDATE: for fascinating (and horrifying) background on school desegregation in Boston, read Lukas's common ground, which tells the tale of forced busing in the 70's and the resulting race riots.
UPDATE 2:Phil Greenspun picked up on this article, and notes that Cambridge spends $17K/student/year and has some of the lowest test scores in the state. Yikes!
Posted by sam,
12:54 AM
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Can you audit single dads more often than single moms? An interesting constitutional question about proposed Earned Income Tax Credit reforms (via volokh).
Posted by Timothy,
12:26 AM
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Wednesday, May 07, 2003 X-Men and integration Interesting TNR article here on how X-men comics have moved away from the ideal of integration: "What we've seen in recent years is nothing less than the Sharptonization of the X-Men."
Posted by Timothy,
11:58 PM
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Alex Wilson is Making Sense... ...with intelligent comments on dartlog, claiming that the acrimonious Reeder/Eisenman/Galemba exchange seems to largely stem from "an unfortunate paragraph juxtaposition."
Just as the early reports of chemical weapons turned out to be false, the claims of rampant looting at the National Museum are unfounded.
Posted by sam,
9:50 PM
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Cholera NPR is reporting that the World Health Organization has documented several cholera cases in Basra. WHO presciently wrote up this dire warning yesterday, describing how conditions are ripe for "major epidemics" and how sanctions have left the health sector weakend and unable to "cope" with "an acute emergency situation."
Posted by Clint,
6:31 PM
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Africa And more reasons that diplomatic efforts in Zimbabwe should not be ignored:
The manipulation of food was directly related to elections. The threat of being deliberately starved by the Government if the opposition won votes was used to prfoundly influence vulnerable rural voters in recent elections in Zimbabwe... Zanu-PF appears to be maintaining a situation where there is too little food in the country, by controlling all sales and import.
Source: Physicians for Human Rights/Denmark, "Voting ZANU For Food." You can email them for more information.
Posted by Nikhil,
5:43 PM
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Crimes Against Typography
For once a mangled blitz hasn't appeared immediately on dartlog. So I'm posting it here.
!!!!!!!"LeT Us SuDS YoU uP"!!!!! -part of Panhell's ***GReEK WeEk 2003***
Posted by Nic,
5:33 PM
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The Republican Wing of the Democratic Party: Kerry to go to Bob Jones?!? TNR's blog writes:
Since then, Bob Jones University has removed its ban on interracial dating, and the Democrats have begun stumping in South Carolina for their own important presidential primary there. Then last weekend Kerry became the first Democrat to say he would visit the controversial school. At a candidate meet-and-greet in Columbia, South Carolina, on May 3, a 53 year-old mother of five asked Kerry if he would come speak at Bob Jones. "I would love to," the senator told her, without missing a beat. When asked by a reporter why she wants Kerry to visit, the woman, who declined to give her name, replied, "I just think it's time for Democrats to come across as Christian."
When one senior Kerry advisor who had not heard about the Senator's remark was asked about the exchange, he e-mailed, "Do you really think he would seriously speak at Bob Jones, c'mon." But it turns out Kerry is serious. Press secretary Robert Gibbs says the remark was "completely spontaneous on Kerry's part but very serious." Gibbs explains in an e-mail: "Senator Kerry would love to speak at Bob Jones, challenge the university and tell them everything that George Bush did not have the courage to say in 2000 about views that clearly have no place in our society."
Posted by Timothy,
5:10 PM
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NH Primary Poll A new poll released yesterday shows Dean and Kerry to be neck and neck in New Hampshire each with 23% of respondents supporting each candidate. Lieberman and Gephardt had 9% and 8% respectively. This poll may not mean much, but I think it suggests that Dean certainly has a legitimate shot. If he couldn't do well in New England, he certainly wouldn't do well in the country in general.
Posted by scott anderson,
3:30 PM
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More Stephen Glass The Washington Post has a story about Stephen Glass, who made up stories out of whole cloth. Like the New York Times story earlier, the final paragraph mentions a Times reporter who lifted some true material and claimed it as his own. I think the NYT had to mention that they had a reporter who they recently dismissed, but there is no reason for the Post to tack that on the end. The dismissed reporter doesn't deserve quite that level of association. Glass is in a class by himself, with only a few other reaching towards his depths. (UPDATE: I had only read about the NYT reporter's plaigerism, which while a cardinal journalist sin worthy of outright dismissal, doesn't put you in the '9th circle of hell with other people who just make shit up. But Howie Kurtz reports today on how the NYT reporter was Glass-like:
Jayson Blair, the New York Times reporter who resigned last week after plagiarizing a story about a woman whose son died in Iraq, never talked to two other soldiers' parents he quoted in separate articles, the parents said in interviews this week. (more)
Posted by Timothy,
2:56 PM
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Vouchers This NYTimes Article is a good example of a. how news coming around the second time is largely ignored and b. why we should be wary of the use and abuse of statistics. Of course, it also brings up a largely forgotten issue - vouchers, one of Bush's favorite issues in his last campaign, have no real benefit, but does create documented problems for public schools.
Posted by Jared,
2:48 PM
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Accountability What is the president scared we might find out? About the investigation into 9/11, Bob Harris of this modern world writes: This panel has a working total budget of just $12 million, meaning that the GOP has budgeted four times as much money to investigating Bill Clinton's sex life than the ambush murders of about 3000 of our fellow Americans.
Posted by Graham,
1:09 PM
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To D or Not to D Since the D didn't run my response to Dan Galemba's op-ed yesterday, I am taking advantage of the privilege of being able to post it here:
A Three Part Lesson in Irony
To the editor:
Mr. Galemba asks me if I appreciate my own irony. Tu quoque, Mr. Galemba. In three brief points:
1. Take out the alcohol. Now one has reduced it to two people hooking up, one, the woman, regretting it. One has conveniently left out the next part. I'm a bit confused by this. I think the implication all along has been that the woman then "fabricates" a sexual assault claim. Is Galemba willing to back up this common conservative opinion with an actual number of claims that you insist are fabricated, and a source for that claim?
2. It's very easy for Galemba to build a straw man by calling my claims "hyperemotionalized" and "liberal," and then responding that his, which reflect those held by a conservative organization, SheThinks.org, are "independent." Reading Galemba's piece is like watching the O'Reilly Factor. Call a spade a spade. I am not sure which side my views reflect, but if it is liberal, so be it - I stand behind my opinion regardless of how Galemba labels it. It would be nice if Galemba showed the same spine rather than employing a shoddy debating tactic.
3. I have been a student here for nearly 4 years now. I have been fairly involved on campus. I have had a few pieces published in this newspaper, including the one to which Mr. Galemba was responding. So I wonder who to blame for the persistent misspelling of my last name, "Eisenman," in his piece.
Perhaps the last point stopped them. Oh well.
Posted by Jonathan,
11:33 AM
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Tuesday, May 06, 2003 Stephen Glass writes a fictional account of his TNR days!
"While this novel was inspired by certain events in my life, it does not recount the actual events of my life," Mr. Glass writes. "This book is a work of fiction, a fabrication, and this time, an admitted one." But the novel closely follows Mr. Glass's story, again blurring the line between reality and imagination. "The creep is doing it again," said Leon Wieseltier, literary editor of The New Republic. "Even when it comes to reckoning with his own sins, he is still incapable of nonfiction. The careerism of his repentance is repulsively consistent with the careerism of his crimes." The novel's narrator, also named Stephen, is a writer for the fictional Washington Weekly, whose style and political views closely resemble The New Republic's. Mr. Glass calls that style ironic contrarian.-NYT
Posted by Timothy,
10:21 PM
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Embed This! In a small separate zoo, once the personal menagerie of Uday Hussein, the eldest son of Saddam Hussein, six lion cubs were born 10 days ago under the care of United States Special Forces. At the zoo today, the mother, named Xena by the soldiers here, crouched protectively next to her snoozing litter, while the father, Brutus, shot a spray of urine at reporters. - The New York Times
Et tu, Brute? Show them what you think of Fox News.
Posted by Jonathan,
9:56 PM
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Crap from the Dartmouth Review's weblog How can Emmett Hogan on dartlog say Fritz Hollings is losing it when Emmett is spewing out this trash from his Inner Orifice:
Yet Another Milestone... ...in the ongoing pussification of our kids. At recess when I was a kid, we used to play Cowboys n' Injuns. With real Injuns! Now, I know what you're asking yourself: how'd you get First Peoples (tm) to playgrounds in Ireland? By coach. How else?
Hmmm... I'd guess when Irish peoples' heads were put on sticks by the British, the Irish didn't feel any need to import victims of British colonization. But our friendly,venom spewing, Irish conservative knows that...
Posted by Timothy,
8:07 PM
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Boondocks comic Haha!
"Moderate, reasonable leftists argue that even though we may not support the war, what's happened has happened and there's no point in dwelling in the past."
"All of those people, mind you, are still mad at O.J."
Posted by Timothy,
7:56 PM
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Bush (not) at War A good timeline from Mother Jones of his AWOLness's service in the Texas Air National Guard.
Posted by Clint,
6:20 PM
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Change of Hart Gary Hart won't run for President. (My big question is what will Hart intern recruiter Ezra Klein's change of hart be? Will Ezra adopt a new candidate? Can we expect anti- or pro- Dean missives, or no change in attitude towards Ezra's fellow blogger's favored candidate?)
Update: Ezra blogs: "I wonder if Gephardt is hiring..." Update 2: The above update has quickly been replaced... it now says "Update: Fuck. Fuck fuck, fuck...Fuck." It's kind of morbid tracking in the blogosphere someone's reaction to their plans for working on a campaign not coming together. I feel bad for anyone in that position (though I know Ezra only from blog posts, particularly those boostering Hart and tempering criticisms against Dean). Update 3: Now I feel bad. Ezra answers my questions, but Ezra is not a her, but a him. For some reason, a few weeks ago I misread the name as Erza and made my initial gender assumptions... apologies! I've eliminated any incorrect gender references in the post above.
Posted by Timothy,
6:11 PM
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Commander-in-chief is not an elected office, but one role of an elected official I love Krugman and atrios.
Posted by Timothy,
6:02 PM
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Smoking ban in Boston It comes down to no more smoking in any workplace, including restaurants and bars. This is going to be bad for many small businesses who will lose smoking business to nearby towns without similar restrictions, and it's more dangerous to have drunk people standing outside bars smoking instead of inside. This really doesn't seem like something the local government should be getting into, especially without a vote. And with the rationale being that it's best for the health of the employees, what about the people who didn't even go into a bar or club who will now be exposed to that smoke? What's next, no smoking outside at all?
Posted by Liz,
1:56 PM
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Monday, May 05, 2003
Thanks to a friend at home in Singapore, we have some comic relief:
Aletter to the london observer from Terry Jones (yes, of Monty Python).
Letter to the Observer Sunday January 26, 2003
I'm really excited by George Bush's latest reason for bombing Iraq: he's running out of patience. And so am I! For some time now I've been really pissed off with Mr Johnson, who lives a couple of doors down the street. Well, him and Mr Patel, who runs the health food shop. They both give me queer looks, and I'm sure Mr Johnson is planning something nasty for me, but so far I haven't been able to discover what. I've been round to his place a few times to see what he's up to, but he's got everything well hidden. That's how devious he is. As for Mr Patel, don't ask me how I know, I just know - from very good sources - that he is, in reality, a Mass Murderer. I have leafleted the street telling them that if we don't act first, he'll pick us off one by one. Some of my neighbours say, if I've got proof, why don't I go to the police? But that's simply ridiculous. The police will say that they need evidence of a crime with which to charge my neighbours. They'll come up with endless red tape and quibbling about the rights and wrongs of a pre-emptive strike and all the while Mr Johnson will be finalising his plans to do terrible things to me, while Mr Patel will be secretly murdering people. Since I'm the only one in the street with a decent range of automatic firearms, I reckon it's up to me to keep the peace. But until recently that's been a little difficult. Now, however, George W. Bush has made it clear that all I need to do is run out of patience, and then I can wade in and do whatever I want! And let's face it, Mr Bush's carefully thought-out policy towards Iraq is the only way to bring about international peace and security. The one certain way to stop Muslim fundamentalist suicide bombers targeting the US or the UK is to bomb a few Muslim countries that have never threatened us. That's why I want to blow up Mr Johnson's garage and kill his wife and children. Strike first! That'll teach him a lesson. Then he'll leave us in peace and stop peering at me in that totally unacceptable way. Mr Bush makes it clear that all he needs to know before bombing Iraq is that Saddam is a really nasty man and that he has weapons of mass destruction - even if no one can find them. I'm certain I've just as much justification for killing Mr Johnson's wife and children as Mr Bush has for bombing Iraq. Mr Bush's long-term aim is to make the world a safer place by eliminating 'rogue states' and 'terrorism'. It's such a clever long-term aim because how can you ever know when you've achieved it? How will Mr Bush know when he's wiped out all terrorists? When every single terrorist is dead? But then a terrorist is only a terrorist once he's committed an act of terror. What about would-be terrorists? These are the ones you really want to eliminate, since most of the known terrorists, being suicide bombers, have already eliminated themselves. Perhaps Mr Bush needs to wipe out everyone who could possibly be a future terrorist? Maybe he can't be sure he's achieved his objective until every Muslim fundamentalist is dead? But then some moderate Muslims might convert to fundamentalism. Maybe the only really safe thing to do would be for Mr Bush to eliminate all Muslims? It's the same in my street. Mr Johnson and Mr Patel are just the tip of the iceberg. There are dozens of other people in the street who I don't like and who - quite frankly - look at me in odd ways. No one will be really safe until I've wiped them all out. My wife says I might be going too far but I tell her I'm simply using the same logic as the President of the United States. That shuts her up. Like Mr Bush, I've run out of patience, and if that's a good enough reason for the President, it's good enough for me. I'm going to give the whole street two weeks - no, 10 days - to come out in the open and hand over all aliens and interplanetary hijackers, galactic outlaws and interstellar terrorist masterminds, and if they don't hand them over nicely and say 'Thank you', I'm going to bomb the entire street to kingdom come. It's just as sane as what George W. Bush is proposing - and, in contrast to what he's intending, my policy will destroy only one street.
Posted by Nikhil,
10:33 PM
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Careful... Kerry has got to be more careful if he does not want to be branded with same tar as Al Gore was (via political wire):
Senator John F. Kerry said yesterday that he will stop declaring that his first speech on the floor of the US Senate highlighted his support for the Roe v. Wade decision on abortion rights, a recollection he has learned is not true.
Though a charge of 'liar' against Kerry would be even more bogus than those thrown against Gore, as evidenced by the nature of Kerry's mistake (mentioned at the bottom of the article):
The Congressional Record shows that on Jan. 22, 1985, about three weeks after the former lieutenant governor of Massachusetts was sworn in as a senator, Kerry entered a written statement reiterating his support for the Roe v. Wade decision. His first spoken words on the floor were made on Feb. 7, 1985, when Kerry made brief remarks about civil rights. His first speech, which usually is a momentous occasion sometimes marked by applause from fellow senators, did not occur until more than a month later, when Kerry took up the topic of the MX missile. ''Certainly it would've been more precise to have referred to John Kerry's 1985 remarks on Roe as his `first statement as a United States senator' than as his first `speech,' '' said a statement issued yesterday by Kelley Benander, a spokeswoman for his campaign. ''The confusion was just that, confusion, and was unintentional. The record will be corrected, but will always reflect that John Kerry has throughout his 18 years in the Senate vigorously supported a woman's right to choose.''
"Bennett is so egregiously wrong on the subject of just about everything that picking on him for hypocrisy seems a bit small-minded."
Posted by sam,
5:15 PM
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Shakira I was wondering how many had seen the new Reebok ad that features Shakira doing her thing while scratching out a peace symbol from the sand of a tropical beach. From the press release:
Promoting world peace has long been a part of Shakira's life. The ad is a true reflection of classic Shakira.
The ... [ad] celebrates Shakira's ethnic heritage through tribal music and sensual dance moves. ...
"Shakira wanted her new Reebok Classic ad to truly speak from her heart,” said Micky Pant, Reebok's chief marketing officer. “She's inspired by the pursuit of global peace and passionate about the art of freedom of expression."
It goes on to say how concerned Reebok is with human rights and poverty in Shakira's home country of Columbia. I'm not sure I have to write the rest of this post; topics spring to mind such as the appropriation of a protest culture as a marketing ploy, the whitewashing of sweatshop practices, the suggestion that "sensual dance moves" celebrate ethnic heritage, and most of all the name Micky Pant.
Posted by Jonathan,
9:33 AM
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The D For those who haven't seen it, I had an op-ed in today's issue of The Dartmouth. Although I think it is a worthwhile piece, I would like to point out that the D took some liberties in my response to Kathleen Reeder that made it, in my opinion, a slightly less friendly piece. This troubles me because I am/was (hopefully still the first) friends with Kathleen, and I took some time, I think, to jovially note in an otherwise serious piece that I was attacking an idea and not a person. It is troubling to me that the D made the changes it did without letting me see them first. I may have approved anyway, if only they let me add a sentence or something back explaining that I was angry at an idea and not a person. Here is the original piece, as I submitted it:
To the Editor:
My friend Kathleen Reeder '03 wrote in this paper, on the second of May, that "the failed feminist movement is feeding [young women] grossly inflated statistics and half-truths...one in four college women has not been raped." A very good friend of mine once defaced his statistics book such that it was entitled "Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics." Whether or not the one-in-four statistic or Kathleen's refuting statistic (I assume she has one, although it was not in her opinion piece) are good examples of any of those three subsets of numbers, I am not qualified to say. What I am qualified to say (and I will say it even if I truly am not qualified) is that regardless of the truth or falsity of this statistic, some of Kathleen's assertions are certainly not buttressed by her denial of the frequency of rape on college campuses. For instance, it appears that by denying that a quarter of college women are raped, Kathleen wishes to somehow strengthen the argument of the anecdote she offers: "Think back to last weekend. With the alcohol flowing, the dance floor spinning and the temperature rising, maybe you ended up behind a closed door hooking up. I'm willing to bet that any guy reading this saw his rendezvous as a great time - the end. The girl, on the other hand, finds herself thinking about it, mulling over it - and maybe wants to know why the guy hasn't blitzed or called." I cannot express how saddened I am that this anecdote - one that seems to pass the buck for an implied claim of sexual abuse onto the whimsy of a drunken female - is what follows from 'the reclamation' of feminism. I am not a feminist. I could not begin to tell you what the tenets of 'liberal feminism' are (as opposed to conservative feminism). I can't say whether or not Kathleen's statistics are bogus. What I can tell you, and what I will vehemently insist, is that Kathleen's op-ed has at best ignored (and at worst pooh-poohed), through its simplistic anecdotal description, some of the most horrible and heart-rending things I have ever experienced in my life. At the risk of being disgustingly blunt, I ask you the reader, and specifically you, Miss Reeder (I couldn't avoid the play on words, sorry Kathleen) what you would think if I took you to a party, got you drunk enough to set the room spinning, and you "ended up" behind a closed door with me. Hey, what a great time, right! Especially now that you've denied yourself the claim that I've assaulted you - we just wanted different things! The problem goes beyond this simplistic example. I am not the most sociable male on campus, and even I know far too many women that have been treated like garbage to believe that you, Kathleen, or many of you readers, don't know more such women. Given the fact that all of you are likely close to someone that has been sexually abused (whether you know it or not), it is unconscionable to stand on a statistic and not even acknowledge the fact that there is, undeniably, a tremendous problem. Would anyone, I wonder, dare stand on such a number if someone they loved were raped? This has nothing to do with feminism, or equality, or fairness. This has everything to do with basic respect for the rights of other individuals. This has to do with people being abused to the extent that there is no denial of that fact. It has to do with the fact that even as many people (yes, on this campus too) claim to be taking responsibility for their actions and endeavoring to stop such behavior around them, there are still others who are vehemently defending those very behaviors ("oh, it was harmless, he was drunk, he didn't mean it")! There is no defense for the violation of another person. None. There is no excuse. None. And there is no statistic that changes those principles. None that even begins to cast doubt on them. There are too many people, just at Dartmouth, who have been the victims or friends of the victims of sexual assault. How could one look them in the eye after denying their statistical significance? I have been a friend to enough people that have been affected by situations like the one caricatured in Kathleen's anecdote. I have shared their pain and grief, and as such I have been hurt (to a far lesser extent) by sexual violence. I wonder, Kathleen, as I consider you my friend (and hopefully can continue to do so after this piece sees the light of day): how will you look at me knowing that I have too many times seen the tears in the eyes of the statistically marginal of whom you have written?
Jonathan H. Eisenman
Posted by Jonathan,
8:26 AM
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Where are the WMDs? redux
DEBKAfile reports that Iraq paid Syria to hide its chem/bio weapons in eastern Lebanon between January and March.
If you haven't seen Debka, check it out...very interesting site. Sorta like a cross between the Drudge Report and the Mossad.
Posted by sam,
2:26 AM
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Sunday, May 04, 2003 Nuclear sites looted...
This is unacceptable, regardless of your stance on the war:
A specially trained Defense Department team, dispatched after a month of official indecision to survey a major Iraqi radioactive waste repository, today found the site heavily looted and said it was impossible to tell whether nuclear materials were missing.
No one should have to be reminded that this war was sold as an opportunity to prevent the proliferation of dangerous materials. And now we're seeing... possible proliferation. So how did this happen? Details are still hazy, but here's what the Post reports:
Twenty-three days ago, a smaller U.S. survey team passed by and recommended an immediate increase in security. The following day, April 11, the IAEA listed this site and Tuwaitha as the two requiring the most urgent protection from looters. U.S. Central Command sent a detachment of the Army's 3rd Infantry Division to control the facility's gate.
Employees of the research center -- or Iraqis who said they were employees -- had been coming in by the score for more than two weeks. The 3rd Infantry's security detail had no Arabic speaker and could not verify their stories. In addition, looters had been scavenging inside continuously since U.S. forces took control. At the peak, there were 400 a day. On Friday, the U.S. soldiers detained 62 of them, but many more got away.
If the US needs more time to find those chemical weapons caches, fine, I can see the arguments for this. If a few museums catch fire because armed forces were getting shot at, well, that's a tragedy but not necessarily a fundamental flaw in war planning. But there is no excuse for a US-supervised nuclear facility to be looted and robbed under the noses of armed troops.
Posted by Brad Plumer,
8:13 PM
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Record companies jump on the virus bandwagon...
According to today's New York Times, the music industry is developing "counter-pirate" software that would attack computers containing illegal MP3s and other pirated music. Apparently all the big firms are jumping on board:
The music industry's five "majors" - the Universal Music Group, a unit of Vivendi Universal; the Warner Music Group, a unit of AOL Time Warner; Sony Music Entertainment; BMG, a unit of Bertelsmann; and EMI - have all financed the development of counterpiracy programs, according to executives, but none would discuss the details publicly.
Of course, they're not discussing this publicly, because most of these tactics are illegal. For the record, the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act says no to whoever "knowingly causes the transmission of a program, information, code, or command, and as a result of such conduct, intentionally causes damage without authorization, to a protected computer." Hm, sounds like these tactics fit the bill:
A more malicious program, dubbed "freeze," locks up a computer system for a certain duration - minutes or possibly even hours - risking the loss of data that was unsaved if the computer is restarted. It also displays a warning about downloading pirated music. Another program under development, called "silence," scans a computer's hard drive for pirated music files and attempts to delete them. One of the executives briefed on the silence program said that it did not work properly and was being reworked because it was deleting legitimate music files, too.
Okay, granted, piracy is illegal too, but this is taking the battle a bit too far, no? Ah well, if the courts don't stop 'em, an army of 15 year old teenagers will. It still seems to me that amateur hackers will always have more creativity, ingenuity and determination than these professionals will ever have. I just can't see AOL Time Warner and Sony tipping the balance and thwarting piracy, especially if they decide to fight dirty...
Posted by Brad Plumer,
7:11 PM
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New Mexico The state legislature in New Mexico is telling D.C. where it can stick the Patriot Act. Read about it here.
Posted by Graham,
4:53 PM
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Orifice Update Emmett says my senator, Fritz Hollings (D-SC) is losing it:
Fritz Hollings is truly, truly losing it. Quoth he: "I saw President Bush on that aircraft carrier in the Pacific yesterday. Incidentally, that's the closest he's ever got to the War in Vietnam."
I'm a bit confused as to how this indicates senility on Hollings's (MLA-rule apostrophe use, for the grammarites amongst you) part. Bush flew an F-105 in the Texas Air National Guard during Vietnam. Leaving aside the whole issue of Bush being AWOL from that duty for a year, silver spoon draft dodging is something Bush is just as open to criticism on as Clinton was. There're a lot of opportunities for Dems to yell tu quoque at the Bush administration, but they don't do it loudly enough. It's sad.
Anyway, the point is, Texas is as far from Vietnam as Oxford. And Hollings, while he rambles sometimes, is a sharp guy. Speak with him in person sometime, and you'll see. His wife, incidentally, is also pretty quick on her toes, a bit of irony considering she sets off metal detectors throughout the Capitol because of joint replacments in her legs. Like Byrd, either Hollings can spout the sort of classical knowledge to which Reviewites wet themselves.